With a forward dividend & yield of 0.20 and 1.19%, Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. [NASDAQ:SWBI] has active tape with a current price of $16.73 against an analyst price target of 23.20.
For the year, the stock is trading 135.57% and the five-day change stands at 1.54%. As a point of reference, the S&P 500 is trading 1.11% YTD.
Other data to note about the company today is the Recommendation Trend that is leaning toward Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. [SWBI] as Moderate Buy.
The Bears are coming
Holding a Market Cap of $933.02 million, Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. has seen a trading range over the last year of $4.24-$22.40.
For the last five days, SWBI is up from its last closing price. The average shares trading hands each day is 2.78M, with average 10-day volume coming in at 2.04 million.
Using a Force Index Indicator is a good way to look at how strong actual buying and selling pressure is for SWBI. When we apply the Elder Force Index to Smith & Wesson Brands Inc., we are seeing an Elder Force Indicator number of -39794.46.
Recent Performance
The recent performance of the stock is another area that can tell traders how to proceed. SWBI is presenting an interesting case. This can be seen in the Forward P/E ratio, which currently stands at 13.73. Moreover, the company’s enterprise value has gone from $1.42B to $720.82M quarter-over-quarter. Obviously, the company is heading in the wrong direction, but there are still opportunities for growth in the sector.
In the last quarter, SWBI made a profit of 116.77 million. Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. also saw quarter revenue growth year over year of 6.28%. In addition, the company has operating cash flow of $207.57 million.
Technical Analysis
Looking at popular technical indicators, the company’s 5-day moving average is 16.89 compared to the 50-day moving average of 17.02. So, traders might want to tread carefully if they are going to bid.
The Relative Strength Index or RSI is an indicator ranging between 0 and 100 that traders use to determine if a stock is “overbought” or “oversold.” A strong uptrend tending to reach into the “overbought” status is above 70, while a downward trend will stay around the 30 mark. SWBI currently holds a 9-day RSI of 51.50%, while 100-day RSI stands at 54.45%.
Another indicator we believe is worth keeping tabs on is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence or MACD. Similar to the concept of the Force Index — on the basis of price momentum — the MACD gives traders a tool to measure the turning point of a stock even during rapid fluctuations in price. Buy and sell signals are determined by a stock’s relation to the zero line, so if a stock is above a zero line for many weeks it might be a “buy.” On the other hand, if a stock is below the zero line consistently, it might be one to stay away from. Also, if the MACD line reaches a peak and dips, its momentum may be waning. SWBI’s 9-day MACD is 0.06 and the company’s 100-day MACD stands at 0.65.
Inside Moves
Another area that is important to analyze is insider moves and majority shareholders. While this is not always an error-free way to tell what the future holds for a stock, you can maybe gather important information from reading the tea leaves about who is buying and selling.
The major holders for this stock are 2.79% by insiders and 71.94% by institutions.
Over the last six months, insiders have sold 3,000 with the most recent transaction from SCOTT ROBERT L, Director, with a sell at price 15.87 per share.
Conclusion
Overall, the recommended rating for SWBI is Moderate Buy. Currently, the company has 6 analysts watching the stock, and the average quarterly earnings estimate is 0.66. Quarterly revenue estimates are averaging 222.79M with the high estimate reaching 225.3M and the low at 219.95M.
To review, the current 1-year target estimate is sitting at 23.20, while the current price 16.73. Based on this, we expect the stock to rise considering the aforementioned fundamentals.
