With a current price of $7.28, Annaly Capital Management Inc. [NYSE:NLY] is active in the REIT – Mortgage industry, with a 5-day price swing of 1.40%.
For the year, the stock is trading -23.35%, while, as a point of reference, the S&P 500 is trading 1.3% YTD. Other data to note on this name is a price per sales number of 53.72.
Wait and see
Holding a Market Cap of $10.03 billion, Annaly Capital Management Inc. has seen a trading range over the last year of $3.51-$10.50.
For the last five days, NLY is up from its last closing price. The average shares trading hands each day is 12.48M, with average 10-day volume coming in at 12.83 million.
Using a Force Index Indicator is a good way to look at how strong actual buying and selling pressure is for NLY. When we apply the Elder Force Index to Annaly Capital Management Inc., we are seeing an Elder Force Indicator number of 98751.06.
Recent Performance
The recent performance of the stock is another area that can tell traders how to proceed. NLY is presenting an interesting case. This can be seen in the Forward P/E ratio, which currently stands at 7.17.
In the last quarter, NLY made a profit of 398.78 million. Annaly Capital Management Inc. also saw quarter revenue growth year over year of -11.98%. In addition, the company has operating cash flow of -$853.76 million.
Technical Analysis
Looking at popular technical indicators, the company’s 5-day moving average is 7.21 compared to the 50-day moving average of 7.36. So, traders might want to tread carefully if they are going to bid.
The Relative Strength Index or RSI is an indicator ranging between 0 and 100 that traders use to determine if a stock is “overbought” or “oversold.” A strong uptrend tending to reach into the “overbought” status is above 70, while a downward trend will stay around the 30 mark. NLY currently holds a 9-day RSI of 48.95%, while 100-day RSI stands at 49.12%.
Another indicator we believe is worth keeping tabs on is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence or MACD. Similar to the concept of the Force Index — on the basis of price momentum — the MACD gives traders a tool to measure the turning point of a stock even during rapid fluctuations in price. Buy and sell signals are determined by a stock’s relation to the zero line, so if a stock is above a zero line for many weeks it might be a “buy.” On the other hand, if a stock is below the zero line consistently, it might be one to stay away from. Also, if the MACD line reaches a peak and dips, its momentum may be waning. NLY’s 9-day MACD is 0.03 and the company’s 100-day MACD stands at 0.20.
Inside Moves
Another area that is important to analyze is insider moves and majority shareholders. While this is not always an error-free way to tell what the future holds for a stock, you can maybe gather important information from reading the tea leaves about who is buying and selling.
The major holders for this stock are 0.33% by insiders and 53.69% by institutions. Regarding institutional holdings, Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) owns 9.51%, while the second top holder, Blackrock Inc., currently owns 7.34%.
Over the last six months, insiders have bought 200,000 with the most recent transaction from Hamilton Thomas Edward, Director, with a purchase at price 5.96 per share.
Conclusion
Overall, the recommended rating for NLY is Moderate Buy. Currently, the company has 11 analysts watching the stock, and the average quarterly earnings estimate is 0.26. Quarterly revenue estimates are averaging 604.4M with the high estimate reaching 627.5M and the low at 561M.
To review, the current 1-year target estimate is sitting at 8.14, while the current price 7.28. Based on this, we expect the stock to rise considering the aforementioned fundamentals.
